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Thursday 2 August 2012

Djokovic vs Tsonga (Olympics 2012 Quater-Final Preview)

The match pits the energetic Frenchman against the magical Serb. The players have met 11 times with Djokovic coming on top in 6 of those meetings. There is a lot on the line in this match. For Djokovic, the world no.1 ranking and a place in the medal match and for Tsonga, of-course a place in the medal match.

Description Djokovic   Tsonga
Match record this year    44-7     37-13
H2H      6        5
H2H on grass      1        0

 The pair's most recent clash on in Roland Garros (Tsonga had 3 match points, if I recall it correctly), is still fresh in our memories, where Tsonga had Djokovic on the ropes. Their lone meeting on grass came in the semi-finals of Wimbledon 2011, when Djokovic topped Tsonga in 4 sets on his way to his first Wimbledon crown.

Djokovic overcame an inspired Hewitt to set up a block-buster quarter-final clash against Tsonga. Tsonga was on the better side of the record setting match in his second round triumph against Raonic, winning 25-23 in the third set.

Both Djokovic and Tsonga have trodden an almost similar path to the quarter-finals, both having lost 2 sets on their way to the quarter-finals.

Let us have a look at the performance of the players so far in the tournament:

Description Djokovic Tsonga
Aces 14 14
Double Faults 1 3
First Serve 65% 63%
Points won on first serve 81% 85%
Points won on second serve 54% 65%
Receiving points won on first serve 32% 24%
Receiving points won on second serve 57% 40%
Break points 62% 31%
Total winners 35 43
Unforced errors 14 20
Net points won 71% 76%

Tsonga has dominated on serve so far in the tournament as the numbers speak for themselves. He has won 9% more points behind his second serve as compared to his opponent in the quarter-final. However, we all know what a good returner Djokovic is, and Tsonga must stick to these numbers on his serve if he wants to have any chance against Djokovic.

Tsonga leads Djokovic in serve stats, but the Serbian is far ahead of the Frenchman when we look at the return stats, Djokovic has won 8% more points than Tsonga when returning the first serve and 17% more points when returning the second serve, however Tsonga can be forgiven for his poor return stats given the fact that he played Raonic in the second round.

Tsonga has a +23 Winners - unforced errors differential, while Djokovic has +21.

The match will be a close call if both players are playing well. It will come down to the serves of the players, whoever gets broken first will be in trouble. Tsonga in his last 3 matches has only been broken once, while Djokovic has been broken for 3 times in the tournament so far.

Pick: Djokovic in 3 sets

Who will come out on top, will it be French time or will the Serbian magic be too much for the French Energy? Find the Federer-Isner quarter-final preview here.

2 comments:

  1. A little nervous about this one. Hope Nole comes out like he did against Roddick. Otherwise it will be a short day for the Serb.

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  2. Right, he was too good against Roddick, but not good against Hewitt in the first and second sets. Tsonga will try his best but I guess he will be tired since it will be the third straight day he will be playing. Djokovic will have the edge.

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